@Kronos
The production numbers are from Amiga Format, the Commodore US executive, and Commodore Frankfurt.
From the Commodore - The Final Years book, the upper limit for AGA's planned production run is half a million (my cited total AGA numbers are in range), and Commodore management was late on ordering the AA Lisa chips and fell back on the plan B A600's mass production with A500's 1991 production scale.
From Commodore - The Final Years
Unfortunately, when it came time to manufacture the machines, poor planning had resulted in a shortage of crucial chips. “I recall one mistake towards the end of Commodore where they did not order the correct chips for the A1200, the AGA chips,” recalls Dale Luck. “People wanted the new graphics of the A1200 and A4000, but they didn’t order enough of the [Lisa] chips from Hewlett-Packard to actually make a half-million of the new Amigas.”
Because there were not enough AGA chips to manufacture the A1200, Ali went to his backup plan of manufacturing A600 systems instead. In early September, SCI-UK began producing A600 computers for the Christmas season. This was an odd move, because Commodore should have been trying to clear out its inventory of A600 systems in anticipation of the A1200 launch. As a result, Ali’s team manufactured too many A600 computers for the market to absorb. “There were some mistakes made with buying a million A600s and then having to write them off,” says Dale Luck.
By the end of 1993 and into early January 1994, AGA units reached around half a million Amigas with Lisa chips.
Phase 5 PPC effort ignored the significant minority CD32 AGA and the majority A500 install base (despite GVP A530 being a major seller for GVP). PPC accelerator in A600 is not going to happen and is ignored.
My total AGA number estimates are within or around Commodore's half-million of the new Amigas with Lisa chips.
AGA production ramp-up should have been pushed 1 year earlier in 1991.
A2000's "few" 100,000 production scale is just an estimate based on Germany's 124,500 A2000 unit sales.
A "few" of 100,000 production scale could mean a 200,000 or a 300,000 unit range i.e. it's certainly not 1,000,000 production unit scale for A2000s. A "few" of 10,00 production scale could mean a 20,000 or a 30,000 unit range i.e. it's certainly not 1,000,000 production unit scale for A3000s.
A "few" of 10,00 production scale could mean a 20,000 or a 30,000 unit range i.e. it's certainly not 1,000,000 production unit scale for A4000s.
It's known that the A500 has a "few" of 1,000,00 production scale.
http://www.bambi-amiga.co.uk/amigahistory/sales.html
These figures are open to interpretation and can never be accurately predicted. A breakdown of these results to distinguish which machines sold more could be further queried. However, few Commodore subsidiaries prepared to release such information. One of the few people to make such information available was Dr. Peter Kittel, who worked for Commodore Germany until it filed for liquidation proceedings. He suggests there is a total of 5,292,200 Amigas world-wide and provides a breakdown of the number of machines sold in Germany. These are based upon recorded serial numbers of machines sold before December 31st, 1993 (Source: Marketing Department, Commodore Frankfurt).
Germany Amiga CD32 25,000 Amiga CDTV 25,800 Amiga 500 1,081,000 Amiga 500+ 79,500 Amiga 600 193,000 Amiga 1000 27,500 Amiga 1200 95,500 Amiga 2000 124,500 Amiga 3000 8,300 Amiga 4000/030 7,500 Amiga 4000/040 3,800 Amiga 3000(T) CA.6000 Amiga 3000(T)- 040 (030 CPU absent) CA. 80
There are 10 times more A500 (and A500+) in Germany than Amiga 1200s! This provides a sum total of 1,677,480 Amigas sold in Germany
The total: AGA Amigas in Germany is 131,300 units, which is about 26.7 percent of 491,300 AGA units. The other major Amiga markets are the UK, the US, Canada, and the Nordic countries. The UK's Amiga market is said to rival Germany's.
Germany's Amiga model ratio can be scaled to a total of 5,292,200 Amigas worldwide.
Phase 5's 060 and PPC coverage is only for Amiga minority models i.e. A1500/A2000, A1200, A3000, and A4000.
The other major Amiga market is the UK.
Amiga demographics is not like Apple's 1.2 million PowerMac sales from sometime 1994 to Jan 1995 (cite ref 1).
Hint: Apple's Mac LC I had 500,000 sales before the LC II's "best-selling" Mac model in 1992.
Amiga is not a Mac. The Petro PPC camp is in a delusion to think that the Amiga is like a Mac.
You haven't cited market intelligence for the Amiga's production numbers.
Unlike the Amiga world, the PC world has proper market intelligence statistics to aid investment decisions.
Reference 1. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/1995-01-15/it-just-may-be-the-year-of-the-apple
If AGA sales numbers are treated as worldwide 44,000 (the UK has 30,000 during its launch), 100,000 (AF50, Sep 1993), 170,000 (AF56, Feb 1994), 166,000 (CD32, Commodore US president, Jan 1994), 7,500 (Germany's A4000/030), 3,800 (Germany's A4000/040), Total: 491,300 AGA units.
From the Commodore - The Final Years book
Commodore UK ended up selling 87,000 units by December 31, 1993.
Commodore CD32 sold 46,000 units in the rest of Europe (particularly in the Scandinavian countries), 12,000 units in North America, and 21,000 in the rest of the world, for a worldwide total of 166,000. This was considered a failure, largely because Commodore would have needed to sell 400,000 units to survive. The main problem was not demand for the CD32, which was strong, but rather a lack of production capacity.
Minus Germany's CD32 25,000 units from worldwide 166,000 = 141,000 CD32 AGA units.
Germany's 131,300 AGA units + worldwide 141,000 CD32 AGA units = 272,300 AGA units.
If you add the UK's low estimate of 100,000 A1200 units, that's 372,300 AGA units i.e. 75 percent of the 491,300 AGA units estimate.
If you add the UK's 170,000 A1200 units, that's 442,300 AGA units i.e. 90 percent of the 491,300 AGA units estimate.
https://www.cucug.org/amiga/aminews/1995/at951106 From Nov 1995, Ladies and Gentlemen, we have sold our first 20,000 Amigas 1200 in Europe. These were not only sold to our distributors and dealers, all of them went over the shelves to the end-users. Our Backlog is still 60,000.
Escom sold its 1st 20,000 A1200 units. The total AGA Amigas reaches 452,300 units i.e. Pedro's (20,000 + 60,000) + 372,300 AGA units The total AGA Amigas reaches 522,300 units i.e. Pedro's (20,000 + 60,000) + 442,300 AGA units
I haven't included A1200 and A4000 units from North America, Oceania, and Nordic countries.
Regardless of how you skin a cat, the total AGA units can reach about half a million.
Remove 166,000 CD32 units from 452,300 AGA units, that's 286,300 AGA units market size for Phase 5's 68040/68060 and PPC 604e/603e potential with at least AGA display.
Remove 166,000 CD32 units from 522,300 AGA units, that's 356,300 AGA units market size for Phase 5's 68040/68060 and PPC 604e/603e potential with at least AGA display.
My core argument's production scale's magnitude did not change.
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