@MikeB

Sony Computer Europe's President David Reeves once predicted the PS3 would be #1 this gen by March 08. He missed the target. He's leaving Sony (no relation AFAIK to the previous comment) and on his way out he now estimates the PS3 is 3-5 years out from being #1 this generation. LINK

My problem with this is simple. If it really takes 5 years what is the competition going to do in that time. Does he really expect to not see a Wii2 or Xbox3 by 2012, let alone 2014? Recently I commented that the PS3 well may prove to be the low cost leader against the next gen of consoles. I see his statement overlaying my thought nicely. (Note: I'm not saying I think he'd back my 'low cost against next gen' statement.) Just an observation on how one can see the game being played out by 2011 and Sony hoping to be the #1 3-years later.



As for Blu-Ray. You have to admit the competition is much harder in the marketplace than it was for the DVD. We have HDTVs with built in HD-DVRs. We have increasing HD DVR sales. We have increasing online usage. We have new larger format DVD. We have multiple HD streaming boxes and multiple services to choose from even Sony themselves. Toshiba showed HD movies on memory cards. I know you feel it's FUD but certainly there are more guns pointing against Blu-Ray than were ever pointed against DVD.