@BrianK and @MikeB

Since we know the results, Blu-Ray vs DVD-HD is almost a sleeper...

Last edited by Hammer on 30-Apr-2009 at 11:53 AM.

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@MikeB

Quote:

Not true, Moore law discribes exponential gains. That's not the case: "Broadband Access Improves, but US Still Lags Behind

I'd agree that bandwidth doesn't exactly follow Moore's law. In many other countries it's actually exceeded the prediction of Moore's law.

EDIT: Moore's law is characterized by a doubling every 2 years.

Modems -- 1996 was V.34 and 14,400 baud (14 kpbs). Moore's law says this should grow 64 fold by 2008. 64x15=960kpbs. Homes in the USA do have 6-8Mbps. So clearly this is out stripping Moore's law. Europe this is outstripping Moore's law even faster.

DVD -- 1995 was 4.7GB. Moore's law says this should grow 64 fold by 2007. That's 300GB in 2007. Yet in 2006 we saw only a 25GB medium (Blu_Ray) come to the fold.

Certainly Blu has some larger formats in the future. The newer and larger 100 DVD on a single disc format is 470GB. So if that was to launch today it's still under the 600GB we'd predict if Moore's law was in force with media.

BTW 6Mbps is fast enough to send 1080p content. One needs about 2Mbps. No need for Blu_Ray.

Last edited by BrianK on 30-Apr-2009 at 02:31 PM.

@MikeB

Quote:

Broadband Access Improves, but US Still Lags Behind

Mike, BrianK did not say its tracking Moore's Law in the U.S. specifically when he first mentioned Moore's law. As long as its tracking the law via someplace on earth his statement was fair on its face. If you want to disprove it fine, just do so fairly.

EDIT: updated grammar used

Last edited by fairlanefastback on 30-Apr-2009 at 03:25 PM.
Last edited by fairlanefastback on 30-Apr-2009 at 03:24 PM.
Last edited by fairlanefastback on 30-Apr-2009 at 01:50 PM.

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